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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£24,139,851
The crowdHeld 24% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 348 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 January 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 34 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 14% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 35 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 347 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (6, 9) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 4 October 2019 — its closest relative in 347 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (21 January 2020): 24 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 5 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 46 — the 0th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 3–4. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →4 had not appeared for 44 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 3.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈36M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls — 3,192 winners, 25% more than the 2.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,252,672 | £2.50 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 590,286 | £4.30 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 191,616 | £4.40 |
| Match 3 | 107,815 | £5.60 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 38,557 | £7.80 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 48,109 | £6.60 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 3,192 | £36.50 |
| Match 4 | 3,205 | £20.60 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,304 | £64.00 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 97 | £807 |
| Match 5 | 12 | £13,335 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 5 | £137,403 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £24,139,851 |