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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£156,693,569
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 925 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 August 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 33 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 12% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 92 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 154 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 924 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 42, 47) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 27 August 2024 — its closest relative in 924 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (1 August 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 10 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 98 — the 17th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →3 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈29M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 736 winners, 21% fewer than the 936 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,303,797 | £2.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 579,368 | £3.90 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 154,890 | £4.60 |
| Match 3 | 89,293 | £6.60 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 27,758 | £10.30 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 38,712 | £8.20 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,848 | £44.30 |
| Match 4 | 1,683 | £34.20 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 736 | £105 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 28 | £1,504 |
| Match 5 | 5 | £27,032 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | £192,770 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £156,693,569 |