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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£131,464,184
The crowdHeld 23% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 956 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 November 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 56% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 96 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 159 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 955 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (19, 29, 48) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 4 July 2025 — its closest relative in 955 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (18 November 2025): 48 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 148 — the 74th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →19 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈42M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 99,866 winners, 25% fewer than the 133k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,454,386 | £2.60 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 703,948 | £3.30 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 221,576 | £3.40 |
| Match 3 | 99,866 | £6.20 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 42,501 | £7.10 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 49,206 | £6.80 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,862 | £30.00 |
| Match 4 | 2,348 | £25.70 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,034 | £78.60 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 67 | £659 |
| Match 5 | 9 | £15,739 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 5 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £131,464,184 |