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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£24,975,215
The crowdHeld 2% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 840 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 October 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 77% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 84 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 140 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 839 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (23, 32, 49) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 29 August 2023 — its closest relative in 839 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (8 October 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 166 — the 89th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →23 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈21M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls — 1,369 winners, 9% fewer than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 946,037 | £3.20 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 463,749 | £4.10 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 112,915 | £5.40 |
| Match 3 | 64,209 | £7.80 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 20,133 | £12.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 31,194 | £8.60 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,369 | £50.40 |
| Match 4 | 1,437 | £33.70 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 738 | £88.50 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 30 | £1,182 |
| Match 5 | 6 | £18,975 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | £162,377 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £24,975,215 |