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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£14,657,400
The crowdHeld 24% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 729 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 September 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 93% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 73 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 728 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (31, 41, 42) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 17 August 2021 — its closest relative in 728 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (15 September 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 139 — the 63th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 41–42. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →15 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang10 — 9,076 winners, 34% fewer than the 14k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 1 | €473,970 |
| rang3 | 2 | €55,387 |
| rang4 | 2 | €1,568 |
| rang5 | 67 | €147 |
| rang6 | 250 | €58.00 |
| rang7 | 166 | €53.40 |
| rang8 | 3,989 | €12.90 |
| rang9 | 4,204 | €12.40 |
| rang10 | 9,076 | €11.50 |
| rang11 | 22,943 | €5.70 |
| rang12 | 76,308 | €5.50 |
| rang13 | 149,773 | €4.40 |