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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£14,463,600
The crowdHeld 33% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 347 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 January 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 77% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 35 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 346 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (11, 46) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 1 October 2019 — its closest relative in 346 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (17 January 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 3 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 127 — the 49th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →10 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈24M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 983 winners, 43% fewer than the 1.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 732,557 | £3.20 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 374,176 | £5.10 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 127,338 | £5.00 |
| Match 3 | 47,953 | £9.50 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 22,813 | £10.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 24,456 | £9.80 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,333 | £65.60 |
| Match 4 | 983 | £50.50 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 474 | £132 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 21 | £2,800 |
| Match 5 | 5 | £24,039 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | £172,016 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £14,463,600 |