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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£168,069,397
The crowdHeld 26% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 886 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 March 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 89 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 148 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 885 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 18, 50) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 24 May 2024 — its closest relative in 885 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (18 March 2025): 9, 50 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 115 — the 34th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 17–18. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →18 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈40M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 2,319,001 winners, 26% more than the 1.8M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 2,319,001 | £2.50 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 977,456 | £3.80 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 214,175 | £5.50 |
| Match 3 | 161,655 | £6.00 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 41,905 | £11.20 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 69,007 | £7.60 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,983 | £45.00 |
| Match 4 | 3,328 | £28.30 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,407 | £90.20 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 72 | £958 |
| Match 5 | 17 | £13,024 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 4 | £236,839 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £168,069,397 |