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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£22,703,208
The crowdHeld 13% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 589 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 May 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 36 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 16% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 59 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 588 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 30, 49) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 24 May 2019 — its closest relative in 588 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (13 May 2022): 48 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 160 — the 84th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 48–49. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →5 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang13 — 171,668 winners, 13% more than the 152k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 1 | €257,215 |
| rang3 | 1 | €60,115 |
| rang4 | 1 | €1,971 |
| rang5 | 84 | €154 |
| rang6 | 191 | €68.10 |
| rang7 | 207 | €55.40 |
| rang8 | 3,356 | €15.40 |
| rang9 | 4,855 | €12.60 |
| rang10 | 10,660 | €11.00 |
| rang11 | 17,735 | €7.10 |
| rang12 | 75,113 | €5.80 |
| rang13 | 171,668 | €4.30 |