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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£14,752,600
The crowdHeld 4% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 733 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 October 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 40% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 73 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 122 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 732 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 22, 45) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 12 October 2021 — its closest relative in 732 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (29 September 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 117 — the 37th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →22 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang12 — 88,898 winners, 13% more than the 78k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 2 | €124,708 |
| rang3 | 1 | €14,573 |
| rang4 | 2 | €1,513 |
| rang5 | 114 | €131 |
| rang6 | 282 | €56.20 |
| rang7 | 243 | €46.50 |
| rang8 | 3,991 | €14.40 |
| rang9 | 6,064 | €10.70 |
| rang10 | 12,558 | €9.70 |
| rang11 | 20,589 | €6.90 |
| rang12 | 88,898 | €5.10 |
| rang13 | 184,059 | €4.10 |