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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£14,773,000
The crowdHeld 35% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 943 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 October 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 21% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 94 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 157 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 942 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (24, 39, 42) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 1 March 2022 — its closest relative in 942 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (3 October 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 196 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 42–43. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →43 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈21M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 373 winners, 45% fewer than the 679 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 623,926 | £3.20 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 294,871 | £4.20 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 112,362 | £3.50 |
| Match 3 | 40,481 | £8.10 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 19,086 | £8.20 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 18,910 | £9.30 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,213 | £37.10 |
| Match 4 | 851 | £37.20 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 373 | £114 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 22 | £1,052 |
| Match 5 | 3 | £24,769 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 2 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £14,773,000 |