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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£111,706,402
The crowdHeld 10% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 829 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 September 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 35 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 14% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 83 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 138 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 828 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 11, 45) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 6 December 2016 — its closest relative in 828 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (30 August 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 88 — the 10th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →16 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈33M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls — 2,788 winners, 18% more than the 2.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,378,289 | £2.50 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 663,338 | £3.20 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 178,225 | £3.80 |
| Match 3 | 102,946 | £5.50 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 37,098 | £7.40 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 48,894 | £6.20 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,788 | £28.10 |
| Match 4 | 2,309 | £23.80 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,014 | £73.10 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 55 | £732 |
| Match 5 | 11 | £11,753 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £111,706,402 |