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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£113,568,000
The crowdHeld 13% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 940 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 September 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 71 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 95% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 94 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 157 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 939 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 17, 25) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 25 October 2024 — its closest relative in 939 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (23 September 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 5 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 118 — the 38th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →17 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈39M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 4,004 winners, 42% more than the 2.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,999,731 | £2.40 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 869,935 | £3.40 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 207,067 | £4.60 |
| Match 3 | 154,860 | £5.10 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 41,525 | £9.10 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 66,930 | £6.30 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 3,013 | £36.00 |
| Match 4 | 4,004 | £19.00 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,708 | £60.10 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 94 | £593 |
| Match 5 | 17 | £10,535 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 12 | £63,857 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £113,568,000 |