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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£14,409,200
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 349 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 January 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 84% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 35 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 348 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 19, 38) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 23 July 2019 — its closest relative in 348 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 81% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (24 January 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 5 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 116 — the 35th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →38 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈18M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,125 winners, 12% fewer than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 801,735 | £2.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 399,108 | £4.60 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 93,807 | £6.50 |
| Match 3 | 55,691 | £7.80 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 17,912 | £12.10 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 27,327 | £8.40 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,204 | £69.10 |
| Match 4 | 1,125 | £41.90 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 564 | £106 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 29 | £1,929 |
| Match 5 | 2 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 2 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £14,409,200 |