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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£34,421,724
The crowdHeld 18% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 356 of 1,050 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 February 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 74 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 98% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 36 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 355 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (23, 30, 45) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 12 January 2018 — its closest relative in 355 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (18 February 2020): 32 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 137 — the 61th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →45 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈6.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang13 — 240,724 winners, 18% fewer than the 293k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 1 | €183,307 |
| rang3 | 2 | €28,561 |
| rang4 | 14 | €834 |
| rang5 | 192 | €91.40 |
| rang6 | 395 | €37.80 |
| rang7 | 401 | €38.50 |
| rang8 | 6,384 | €10.30 |
| rang9 | 8,177 | €9.80 |
| rang10 | 17,339 | €9.10 |
| rang11 | 34,181 | €5.00 |
| rang12 | 114,601 | €5.00 |
| rang13 | 240,724 | €4.00 |