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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£151,567,470
The crowdHeld 31% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 985 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 March 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 57% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 98 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 164 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 984 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 24, 50) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 3 March 2023 — its closest relative in 984 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (27 February 2026): 24 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 121 — the 41th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 6–7. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →7 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈42M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,744 winners, 43% fewer than the 3.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,342,534 | £2.70 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 677,964 | £3.40 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 225,691 | £3.20 |
| Match 3 | 86,078 | £7.00 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 41,288 | £7.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 43,355 | £7.50 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,592 | £32.00 |
| Match 4 | 1,744 | £33.40 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 915 | £85.80 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 46 | £927 |
| Match 5 | 5 | £27,369 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 6 | £97,586 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £151,567,470 |