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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£33,701,388
The crowdHeld 17% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 718 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 17% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 72 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 717 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 6, 10) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 30 August 2022 — its closest relative in 717 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (8 August 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 3 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 67 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →10 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈6.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang13 — 255,516 winners, 17% fewer than the 309k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 1 | €219,719 |
| rang3 | 1 | €22,008 |
| rang4 | 19 | €813 |
| rang5 | 257 | €99.60 |
| rang6 | 583 | €37.10 |
| rang7 | 505 | €35.00 |
| rang8 | 7,513 | €9.80 |
| rang9 | 9,989 | €8.80 |
| rang10 | 20,591 | €8.30 |
| rang11 | 36,027 | €4.90 |
| rang12 | 126,113 | €4.60 |
| rang13 | 255,516 | €3.70 |