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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£34,891,934
The crowdHeld 29% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 731 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 September 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 28 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 7% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 73 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 122 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 730 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 14, 23) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 23 May 2023 — its closest relative in 730 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (22 September 2023): 23 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 5 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 64 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →19 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈6.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang13 — 212,418 winners, 28% fewer than the 297k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 2 | €87,505 |
| rang3 | 4 | €8,765 |
| rang4 | 24 | €510 |
| rang5 | 276 | €69.70 |
| rang6 | 699 | €28.10 |
| rang7 | 519 | €26.20 |
| rang8 | 7,926 | €8.20 |
| rang9 | 9,665 | €7.50 |
| rang10 | 17,786 | €7.40 |
| rang11 | 34,660 | €4.40 |
| rang12 | 114,032 | €4.30 |
| rang13 | 212,418 | €3.60 |