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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£72,007,686
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 722 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 61% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 72 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 120 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 721 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (16, 34, 44) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 28 March 2023 — its closest relative in 721 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (22 August 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 146 — the 71th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 16–17, 34–35. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →16 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈6.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang9 — 7,809 winners, 9% fewer than the 8.6k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €262,116 |
| rang3 | 2 | €30,630 |
| rang4 | 7 | €1,547 |
| rang5 | 157 | €139 |
| rang6 | 412 | €68.40 |
| rang7 | 353 | €47.90 |
| rang8 | 5,632 | €15.30 |
| rang9 | 7,809 | €12.20 |
| rang10 | 17,863 | €10.20 |
| rang11 | 32,329 | €7.00 |
| rang12 | 121,315 | €5.80 |
| rang13 | 280,583 | €4.10 |