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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£108,576,000
The crowdHeld 33% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 836 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 27 September 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 73% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 84 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 139 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 835 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (20, 27, 38) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 4 December 2020 — its closest relative in 835 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (24 September 2024): 20, 21 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 5 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 113 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →38 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈38M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 164,809 winners, 38% more than the 119k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 2,273,779 | £2.50 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 940,455 | £3.70 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 199,805 | £5.60 |
| Match 3 | 164,809 | £5.60 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 39,401 | £11.30 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 67,092 | £7.40 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,773 | £45.70 |
| Match 4 | 3,682 | £24.20 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,478 | £81.10 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 68 | £958 |
| Match 5 | 18 | £11,615 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £108,576,000 |