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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

EuroMillions · every number · star deck

Star 4

In EuroMillions under the 5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016 rules — 1,050 draws, 2 from 1–12.

159times drawn · chance expected 175 −1.32σ

0draws waiting — it came up last time

6.6average wait between appearances · chance says 6.0

36longest completed wait · 23% chance of one at least that long

4 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 159 times in 1,050 draws against 175.0 expected, −1.32σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 4, draw by draw

Drawn 159 times in 1,050 draws · average wait 6.6 draws · longest completed wait 36 · drawn in the most recent draw

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest117 · chance 115.6
2nd smallest42 · chance 43.4

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 14.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

12 3 8 11 5 6

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 11 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 12. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-16	1	1st	4 6
2026-10-13	11	1st	4 11
2026-09-04	3	1st	4 12
2026-08-25	1	1st	4 9
2026-08-21	2	1st	4 12
2026-08-14	4	1st	4 8
2026-07-31	2	1st	4 5
2026-07-24	11	2nd	1 4
2026-06-16	16	1st	4 9
2026-04-21	7	2nd	3 4
2026-03-27	4	2nd	2 4
2026-03-13	1	1st	4 10
2026-03-10	10	1st	4 12
2026-02-03	7	1st	4 9
2026-01-09	4	2nd	2 4
2025-12-26	15	2nd	3 4
2025-11-04	21	2nd	1 4
2025-08-22	7	1st	4 10
2025-07-29	18	1st	4 8
2025-05-27	6	1st	4 12
2025-05-06	10	1st	4 9
2025-04-01	20	1st	4 12
2025-01-21	4	1st	4 5
2025-01-07	3	1st	4 12

The other 135 appearances

2024-12-27	4	1st	4 8
2024-12-13	18	1st	4 10
2024-10-11	8	1st	4 5
2024-09-13	2	1st	4 12
2024-09-06	2	2nd	3 4
2024-08-30	1	1st	4 6
2024-08-27	5	1st	4 11
2024-08-09	4	1st	4 10
2024-07-26	1	1st	4 8
2024-07-23	14	1st	4 8
2024-06-04	7	2nd	3 4
2024-05-10	2	1st	4 12
2024-05-03	2	2nd	3 4
2024-04-26	12	1st	4 8
2024-03-15	1	1st	4 5
2024-03-12	1	1st	4 12
2024-03-08	2	1st	4 7
2024-03-01	5	2nd	2 4
2024-02-13	15	1st	4 9
2023-12-22	4	1st	4 12
2023-12-08	9	1st	4 8
2023-11-07	6	1st	4 10
2023-10-17	1	2nd	3 4
2023-10-13	3	2nd	2 4
2023-10-03	7	1st	4 5
2023-09-08	17	2nd	3 4
2023-07-11	1	1st	4 9
2023-07-07	15	1st	4 8
2023-05-16	1	1st	4 11
2023-05-12	36	1st	4 6
2023-01-06	5	1st	4 12
2022-12-20	27	1st	4 5
2022-09-16	2	2nd	3 4
2022-09-09	1	1st	4 9
2022-09-06	2	1st	4 5
2022-08-30	11	2nd	1 4
2022-07-22	4	1st	4 11
2022-07-08	16	1st	4 7
2022-05-13	1	1st	4 8
2022-05-10	9	1st	4 9
2022-04-08	2	1st	4 11
2022-04-01	19	1st	4 10
2022-01-25	16	2nd	2 4
2021-11-30	4	2nd	1 4
2021-11-16	4	2nd	3 4
2021-11-02	22	2nd	1 4
2021-08-17	3	1st	4 6
2021-08-06	4	1st	4 12
2021-07-23	3	2nd	2 4
2021-07-13	1	2nd	3 4
2021-07-09	10	1st	4 11
2021-06-04	5	2nd	2 4
2021-05-18	4	1st	4 12
2021-05-04	10	1st	4 11
2021-03-30	23	1st	4 8
2021-01-08	5	1st	4 6
2020-12-22	6	1st	4 11
2020-12-01	12	1st	4 12
2020-10-20	13	2nd	3 4
2020-09-04	6	1st	4 7
2020-08-14	6	1st	4 12
2020-07-24	1	1st	4 12
2020-07-21	11	2nd	2 4
2020-06-12	4	1st	4 8
2020-05-29	1	1st	4 8
2020-05-26	4	1st	4 6
2020-05-12	5	1st	4 11
2020-04-24	3	1st	4 7
2020-04-14	1	1st	4 11
2020-04-10	12	2nd	1 4
2020-02-28	1	2nd	3 4
2020-02-25	7	1st	4 6
2020-01-31	1	2nd	2 4
2020-01-28	8	1st	4 5
2019-12-31	3	2nd	2 4
2019-12-20	5	2nd	3 4
2019-12-03	4	1st	4 12
2019-11-19	1	1st	4 6
2019-11-15	1	1st	4 11
2019-11-12	5	2nd	2 4
2019-10-25	3	1st	4 10
2019-10-15	4	1st	4 5
2019-10-01	3	2nd	1 4
2019-09-20	6	1st	4 8
2019-08-30	3	1st	4 6
2019-08-20	4	2nd	1 4
2019-08-06	7	1st	4 12
2019-07-12	36	1st	4 8
2019-03-08	3	1st	4 8
2019-02-26	16	2nd	3 4
2019-01-01	3	1st	4 6
2018-12-21	25	2nd	3 4
2018-09-25	1	1st	4 7
2018-09-21	1	2nd	3 4
2018-09-18	1	1st	4 12
2018-09-14	3	2nd	3 4
2018-09-04	1	1st	4 11
2018-08-31	19	1st	4 6
2018-06-26	2	1st	4 7
2018-06-19	4	1st	4 9
2018-06-05	1	1st	4 5
2018-06-01	1	1st	4 5
2018-05-29	1	2nd	2 4
2018-05-25	7	1st	4 5
2018-05-01	4	1st	4 6
2018-04-17	3	1st	4 6
2018-04-06	14	1st	4 8
2018-02-16	5	1st	4 10
2018-01-30	1	1st	4 5
2018-01-26	4	1st	4 9
2018-01-12	2	1st	4 6
2018-01-05	5	1st	4 8
2017-12-19	2	1st	4 7
2017-12-12	1	1st	4 8
2017-12-08	10	2nd	3 4
2017-11-03	2	1st	4 9
2017-10-27	13	2nd	1 4
2017-09-12	8	1st	4 11
2017-08-15	2	1st	4 10
2017-08-08	3	1st	4 5
2017-07-28	13	2nd	2 4
2017-06-13	6	1st	4 11
2017-05-23	1	2nd	1 4
2017-05-19	8	1st	4 9
2017-04-21	6	1st	4 5
2017-03-31	3	1st	4 12
2017-03-21	4	1st	4 11
2017-03-07	4	1st	4 5
2017-02-21	11	2nd	3 4
2017-01-13	1	1st	4 7
2017-01-10	7	1st	4 9
2016-12-16	3	1st	4 11
2016-12-06	16	1st	4 9
2016-10-11	2	1st	4 11
2016-10-04	—	1st	4 11

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 2/12 tonight whatever it did last week.