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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£113,659,000
The crowdHeld 18% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 982 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 February 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 61% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 98 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 164 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 981 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 24, 33) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 23 September 2025 — its closest relative in 981 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (17 February 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 5 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 133 — the 56th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →33 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈49M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 2,881 winners, 19% fewer than the 3.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,834,281 | £2.50 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 877,573 | £3.20 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 261,719 | £3.40 |
| Match 3 | 129,858 | £5.70 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 52,618 | £6.80 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 62,730 | £6.40 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 3,804 | £26.90 |
| Match 4 | 2,881 | £25.00 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,412 | £68.70 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 66 | £799 |
| Match 5 | 10 | £16,931 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 7 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £113,659,000 |