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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£58,741,896
The crowdHeld 6% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 548 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 December 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 39% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 55 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 547 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (2, 41) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 5 November 2021 — its closest relative in 547 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (21 December 2021): 34 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 131 — the 54th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →28 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈5.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang9 — 7,675 winners, 8% fewer than the 8.3k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €437,556 |
| rang3 | 1 | €29,218 |
| rang4 | 6 | €1,991 |
| rang5 | 152 | €163 |
| rang6 | 337 | €75.00 |
| rang7 | 350 | €52.70 |
| rang8 | 5,518 | €16.00 |
| rang9 | 7,675 | €13.50 |
| rang10 | 17,823 | €10.90 |
| rang11 | 31,416 | €7.20 |
| rang12 | 121,498 | €6.10 |
| rang13 | 285,387 | €4.30 |