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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£14,941,300
The crowdHeld 5% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 962 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 December 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 87% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 96 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 160 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 961 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (25, 37, 41) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 26 May 2023 — its closest relative in 961 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (9 December 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 11 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 140 — the 65th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →30 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈22M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 611 winners, 12% fewer than the 695 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,031,927 | £2.70 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 457,820 | £3.80 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 115,000 | £4.80 |
| Match 3 | 68,638 | £6.70 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 21,430 | £10.40 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 30,341 | £8.20 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,447 | £43.90 |
| Match 4 | 1,460 | £30.50 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 611 | £98.40 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 26 | £1,255 |
| Match 5 | 5 | £20,958 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 4 | £112,091 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £14,941,300 |