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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£27,489,353
The crowdHeld 38% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 422 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 October 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 52% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 42 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 421 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 35, 50) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 21 August 2020 — its closest relative in 421 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 87% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (6 October 2020): 41 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 152 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →11 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈6.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang10 — 12,002 winners, 45% fewer than the 22k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €347,164 |
| rang3 | 0 | €54,092 |
| rang4 | 2 | €1,149 |
| rang5 | 97 | €138 |
| rang6 | 370 | €49.30 |
| rang7 | 260 | €50.60 |
| rang8 | 6,064 | €10.80 |
| rang9 | 5,685 | €12.20 |
| rang10 | 12,002 | €11.40 |
| rang11 | 36,411 | €4.80 |
| rang12 | 91,006 | €5.70 |
| rang13 | 192,059 | €4.50 |