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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£25,559,255
The crowdHeld 29% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 946 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 October 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 24% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 95 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 158 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 945 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (39, 44, 47) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 6 December 2024 — its closest relative in 945 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (14 October 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 3 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 178 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →47 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.3× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 25% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈28M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,242 winners, 38% fewer than the 2.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 888,164 | £3.20 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 444,580 | £4.00 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 146,767 | £3.80 |
| Match 3 | 60,552 | £7.70 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 25,880 | £8.70 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 30,386 | £8.20 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,585 | £40.50 |
| Match 4 | 1,242 | £36.30 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 635 | £95.70 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 37 | £892 |
| Match 5 | 6 | £17,665 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 1 | £453,507 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £25,559,255 |