Star 10

In EuroMillions under the 5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016 rules — 1,050 draws, 2 from 1–12.

167times drawn · chance expected 175 −0.66σ

2draws waiting · a wait this long: 83% for any number

6.3average wait between appearances · chance says 6.0

29longest completed wait · 64% chance of one at least that long

10 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 167 times in 1,050 draws against 175.0 expected, −0.66σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 10, draw by draw

Drawn 167 times in 1,050 draws · average wait 6.3 draws · longest completed wait 29 · waiting 2 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest27 · chance 30.4
2nd smallest140 · chance 136.6

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 15.2 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

2 1 6 8 11 5

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 11 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 12. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-09	1	2nd	5 10
2026-10-06	1	2nd	8 10
2026-10-02	2	2nd	2 10
2026-09-25	1	1st	10 12
2026-09-22	2	1st	10 12
2026-09-15	8	2nd	6 10
2026-08-18

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 2/12 tonight whatever it did last week.

2025-10-10	13	2nd	1 10
2025-08-26	1	1st	10 11
2025-08-22	4	2nd	4 10
2025-08-08	1	2nd	6 10
2025-08-05	1	2nd	5 10
2025-08-01	3	2nd	2 10
2025-07-22	3	2nd	9 10
2025-07-11	4	2nd	2 10
2025-06-27	16	2nd	7 10
2025-05-02	22	2nd	1 10
2025-02-14	2	2nd	3 10
2025-02-07	1	2nd	8 10
2025-02-04	15	2nd	5 10
2024-12-13	2	2nd	4 10
2024-12-06	7	2nd	6 10
2024-11-12	4	2nd	1 10
2024-10-29	12	1st	10 12
2024-09-17	9	2nd	1 10
2024-08-16	2	2nd	1 10
2024-08-09	8	2nd	4 10
2024-07-12	4	2nd	8 10
2024-06-28	12	2nd	1 10
2024-05-17	7	2nd	1 10
2024-04-23	4	2nd	2 10
2024-04-09	3	2nd	2 10
2024-03-29	2	2nd	1 10
2024-03-22	23	2nd	9 10
2024-01-02	2	1st	10 12
2023-12-26	14	2nd	9 10
2023-11-07	2	2nd	4 10
2023-10-31	16	2nd	2 10
2023-09-05	3	1st	10 12
2023-08-25	3	2nd	5 10
2023-08-15	7	2nd	6 10
2023-07-21	6	2nd	7 10
2023-06-30	2	2nd	7 10
2023-06-23	5	1st	10 11
2023-06-06	1	2nd	2 10
2023-06-02	10	1st	10 11
2023-04-28	3	2nd	1 10
2023-04-18	2	1st	10 11
2023-04-11	3	2nd	2 10
2023-03-31	1	2nd	5 10
2023-03-28	1	2nd	9 10
2023-03-24	6	2nd	6 10
2023-03-03	1	1st	10 11
2023-02-28	7	2nd	5 10
2023-02-03	2	2nd	3 10
2023-01-27	4	1st	10 12
2023-01-13	1	2nd	5 10
2023-01-10	2	2nd	3 10
2023-01-03	6	2nd	3 10
2022-12-13	9	1st	10 11
2022-11-11	26	2nd	2 10
2022-08-12	2	2nd	6 10
2022-08-05	6	2nd	8 10
2022-07-15	7	2nd	7 10
2022-06-21	8	2nd	8 10
2022-05-24	10	2nd	2 10
2022-04-19	2	2nd	6 10
2022-04-12	3	2nd	2 10
2022-04-01	8	2nd	4 10
2022-03-04	4	1st	10 12
2022-02-18	3	2nd	6 10
2022-02-08	3	2nd	7 10
2022-01-28	10	2nd	9 10
2021-12-24	6	2nd	5 10
2021-12-03	3	2nd	9 10
2021-11-23	12	2nd	7 10
2021-10-12	5	1st	10 11
2021-09-24	7	1st	10 12
2021-08-31	2	2nd	2 10
2021-08-24	7	2nd	3 10
2021-07-30	1	2nd	5 10
2021-07-27	7	1st	10 12
2021-07-02	12	2nd	7 10
2021-05-21	7	2nd	3 10
2021-04-27	2	2nd	1 10
2021-04-20	9	1st	10 11
2021-03-19	2	2nd	1 10
2021-03-12	2	1st	10 11
2021-03-05	7	2nd	7 10
2021-02-09	25	2nd	9 10
2020-11-13	9	2nd	1 10
2020-10-13	14	2nd	1 10
2020-08-25	12	2nd	8 10
2020-07-14	2	2nd	9 10
2020-07-07	2	2nd	8 10
2020-06-30	4	2nd	2 10
2020-06-16	24	2nd	2 10
2020-03-24	3	1st	10 11
2020-03-13	3	2nd	9 10
2020-03-03	4	2nd	1 10
2020-02-18	1	2nd	2 10
2020-02-14	1	2nd	6 10
2020-02-11	13	2nd	6 10
2019-12-27	4	2nd	5 10
2019-12-13	2	2nd	2 10
2019-12-06	11	2nd	1 10
2019-10-29	1	2nd	5 10
2019-10-25	15	2nd	4 10
2019-09-03	7	2nd	7 10
2019-08-09	4	1st	10 11
2019-07-26	21	2nd	3 10
2019-05-14	13	2nd	2 10
2019-03-29	12	2nd	6 10
2019-02-15	2	2nd	2 10
2019-02-08	4	2nd	7 10
2019-01-25	1	2nd	6 10
2019-01-22	1	2nd	8 10
2019-01-18	4	2nd	5 10
2019-01-04	2	2nd	6 10
2018-12-28	6	1st	10 12
2018-12-07	4	2nd	1 10
2018-11-23	27	2nd	3 10
2018-08-21	4	1st	10 12
2018-08-07	8	2nd	8 10
2018-07-10	1	2nd	7 10
2018-07-06	29	2nd	2 10
2018-03-27	3	2nd	9 10
2018-03-16	8	1st	10 11
2018-02-16	1	2nd	4 10
2018-02-13	14	2nd	1 10
2017-12-26	9	2nd	2 10
2017-11-24	3	2nd	3 10
2017-11-14	6	2nd	8 10
2017-10-24	20	2nd	7 10
2017-08-15	4	2nd	4 10
2017-08-01	5	2nd	8 10
2017-07-14	1	2nd	7 10
2017-07-11	6	2nd	8 10
2017-06-20	3	2nd	8 10
2017-06-09	4	1st	10 11
2017-05-26	12	2nd	2 10
2017-04-14	5	2nd	6 10
2017-03-28	12	2nd	6 10
2017-02-14	2	2nd	3 10
2017-02-07	6	2nd	8 10
2017-01-17	15	2nd	2 10
2016-11-25	1	1st	10 11
2016-11-22	9	2nd	2 10
2016-10-21	6	2nd	8 10
2016-09-30	—	2nd	2 10