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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 8 March 2020

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 38
  2. 40
  3. 44
  4. 49
  5. 51
  6. 5

Jackpot€16,600,000

The crowdHeld 61% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 532 of 869 under them

← 2020-03-01All recent draws2020-03-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed38 40 44 49 51 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 March 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

23oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 23 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 4% of every possible ticket.

  • sum100th
  • odd34th
  • low1th
  • widest gap1th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread1th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 49 of each

3848times
4049times
4445times
4953times
51

Prize breakdown · 2020-03-08

  • Lines in play≈ 6.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.6Mto 531k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • 5+013%€215K
  • 2+024%€380.6K
  • 0+136%€568.1K
  • 5 other tiers27%€436.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.20 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

54times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 53 of each

554times

Every number was expected about that many times after 531 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (40, 49, 51) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 29 January 2017 — its closest relative in 531 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 87% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 March 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 5 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

222

The numbers add up to 222 — the 100th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.3× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 33% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.8 by chance€214,999
  • 4+122≈ 49 by chance€1,777
  • 4+0134≈ 438 by chance€340
  • 3+1978≈ 2.3k by chance€53.29
  • 3+07,453≈ 21k by chance€22.73
  • 2+116,607≈ 37k by chance€7.85
  • 2+0126,861≈ 329k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1378,756≈ 379k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+0 — 7,453 winners, 65% fewer than the 21k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€214,999
    4+122€1,777
    4+0134€340
    3+1978€53.29
    3+07,453€22.73
    2+116,607€7.85
    2+0126,861€3.00
    0+1378,756€1.50