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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 4 November 2012

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 27
  3. 32
  4. 38
  5. 46
  6. 1

The crowdHeld 24% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 149 of 868 under them

← 2012-10-28All recent draws2012-11-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 27 32 38 46 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 November 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

66oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 86% of every possible ticket.

  • sum67th
  • odd10th
  • low34th
  • widest gap45th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread44th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 14 of each

1010times
2718times
3215times
3810times
46

Prize breakdown · 2012-11-04

  • Lines in play≈ 4.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.7Mto 495k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • 4+116%€276.4K
  • 2+033%€555.3K
  • 0+125%€422.9K
  • 4 other tiers26%€432.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.15 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

11times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 15 of each

116times

Every number was expected about that many times after 148 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (27, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 April 2012 — its closest relative in 148 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 October 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 1 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

153

The numbers add up to 153 — the 67th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

46 had not appeared for 41 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
0≈ 1.3 by chance
no winners
  • 4+120≈ 36 by chance€13,821
  • 4+0225≈ 326 by chance€221
  • 3+1909≈ 1.7k by chance€62.38
  • 3+011,902≈ 16k by chance€15.48
  • 2+115,365≈ 27k by chance€9.23
  • 2+0185,112≈ 245k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1281,940≈ 282k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 909 winners, 48% fewer than the 1.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+120€13,821
    4+0225€221
    3+1909€62.38
    3+011,902€15.48
    2+115,365€9.23
    2+0185,112€3.00
    0+1281,940€1.50