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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 15 January 2023

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 30
  2. 32
  3. 33
  4. 35
  5. 38
  6. 2

Jackpot€5,400,000

The crowdHeld 41% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 671 of 869 under them

← 2023-01-08All recent draws2023-01-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed30 32 33 35 38 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 January 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

24oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 24 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 4% of every possible ticket.

  • sum81th
  • odd34th
  • low1th
  • widest gap0th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread0th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 62 of each

3052times
3263times
3364times
3555times
38

Prize breakdown · 2023-01-15

  • Lines in play≈ 4.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€6.9Mto 424k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+11 winnerchance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • 5+180%€5.5M
  • 2+05.9%€406.8K
  • 0+15.8%€397K
  • 6 other tiers8.6%€589.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 5+11≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

55times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 67 of each

267times

Every number was expected about that many times after 670 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (32, 33, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 13 December 2015 — its closest relative in 670 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 January 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

168

The numbers add up to 168 — the 81th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 32–33. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 35 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 24% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€5,476,596
  • 5+01≈ 1.2 by chance€194,596
  • 4+121≈ 34 by chance€1,685
  • 4+0185≈ 306 by chance€223
  • 3+1900≈ 1.6k by chance€52.42
  • 3+08,566≈ 15k by chance€17.90
  • 2+114,050≈ 26k by chance€8.39
  • 2+0135,612≈ 230k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1264,684≈ 265k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 14,050 winners, 45% fewer than the 26k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+11€5,476,596
    5+01€194,596
    4+121€1,685
    4+0185€223
    3+1900€52.42
    3+08,566€17.90
    2+114,050€8.39
    2+0135,612€3.00
    0+1264,684€1.50