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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 12 October 2014

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 15
  3. 17
  4. 38
  5. 47
  6. 9

Jackpot€7,421,091

The crowdHeld 31% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 250 of 868 under them

← 2014-10-05All recent draws2014-10-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 15 17 38 47 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 October 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 66% of every possible ticket.

  • sum33th
  • odd90th
  • low66th
  • widest gap68th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 23 of each

514times
1526times
1719times
3822times
47

Prize breakdown · 2014-10-12

  • Lines in play≈ 4.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.4Mto 489k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • 5+011%€163.6K
  • 2+036%€515.9K
  • 0+130%€429.4K
  • 5 other tiers23%€332.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.15 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

29times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 25 of each

933times

Every number was expected about that many times after 249 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (15, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 15 June 2014 — its closest relative in 249 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 October 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

122

The numbers add up to 122 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
2≈ 1.4 by chance
€81,813
  • 4+118≈ 37 by chance€1,653
  • 4+0219≈ 331 by chance€158
  • 3+11,214≈ 1.8k by chance€32.67
  • 3+010,861≈ 16k by chance€11.87
  • 2+118,219≈ 28k by chance€5.44
  • 2+0171,963≈ 249k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1286,271≈ 286k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 18,219 winners, 34% fewer than the 28k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+02€81,813
    4+118€1,653
    4+0219€158
    3+11,214€32.67
    3+010,861€11.87
    2+118,219€5.44
    2+0171,963€3.00
    0+1286,271€1.50