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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 23 August 2015

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 13
  3. 21
  4. 38
  5. 42
  6. 8

Jackpot€6,302,268

The crowdHeld 33% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 295 of 869 under them

← 2015-08-16All recent draws2015-08-30 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 13 21 38 42 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 August 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

70oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 70 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 94% of every possible ticket.

  • sum35th
  • odd34th
  • low66th
  • widest gap45th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread30th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 27 of each

1026times
1319times
2129times
3830times
42

Prize breakdown · 2015-08-23

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.3Mto 432k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • 5+012%€152.7K
  • 2+035%€447.4K
  • 0+130%€383.8K
  • 5 other tiers24%€310K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.13 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

21times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 29 of each

834times

Every number was expected about that many times after 294 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (21, 42) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 August 2015 — its closest relative in 294 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 August 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

124

The numbers add up to 124 — the 34th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
3≈ 1.2 by chance
€50,896
  • 4+116≈ 33 by chance€1,735
  • 4+0206≈ 296 by chance€157
  • 3+11,020≈ 1.6k by chance€36.29
  • 3+09,619≈ 14k by chance€12.51
  • 2+116,229≈ 25k by chance€5.70
  • 2+0149,141≈ 223k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1255,895≈ 256k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 1,020 winners, 35% fewer than the 1.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+03€50,896
    4+116€1,735
    4+0206€157
    3+11,020€36.29
    3+09,619€12.51
    2+116,229€5.70
    2+0149,141€3.00
    0+1255,895€1.50