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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 14 November 2010

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 15
  3. 37
  4. 38
  5. 51
  6. 8

Jackpot€5,000,000

The crowdHeld 41% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 46 of 869 under them

← 2010-11-07All recent draws2010-11-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 15 37 38 51 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 November 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 66% of every possible ticket.

  • sum69th
  • odd66th
  • low34th
  • widest gap72th
  • neighbours98th
  • spread47th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 4 of each

146times
155times
375times
382times
51

Prize breakdown · 2010-11-14

  • Lines in play≈ 7.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.4Mto 734k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.24

Where the money went

  • 5+014%€319.6K
  • 2+030%€705.8K
  • 0+129%€688.8K
  • 5 other tiers27%€648.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.24 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

4times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 5 of each

86times

Every number was expected about that many times after 45 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (14, 15) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 October 2010 — its closest relative in 45 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 November 2010): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

155

The numbers add up to 155 — the 69th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15, 37–38. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 18% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 2.2 by chance€319,583
  • 4+125≈ 59 by chance€2,324
  • 4+0281≈ 531 by chance€241
  • 3+11,509≈ 2.8k by chance€51.34
  • 3+013,296≈ 25k by chance€18.94
  • 2+124,449≈ 44k by chance€7.92
  • 2+0235,253≈ 399k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1459,197≈ 459k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+0 — 13,296 winners, 48% fewer than the 25k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€319,583
    4+125€2,324
    4+0281€241
    3+11,509€51.34
    3+013,296€18.94
    2+124,449€7.92
    2+0235,253€3.00
    0+1459,197€1.50