LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇪🇸 900 200 225all helplines →

El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 15 December 2019

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 13
  3. 15
  4. 27
  5. 38
  6. 2

Jackpot€10,800,000

The crowdHeld 16% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 520 of 869 under them

← 2019-12-08All recent draws2019-12-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 13 15 27 38 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 December 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

38oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 19% of every possible ticket.

  • sum12th
  • odd90th
  • low90th
  • widest gap16th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 48 of each

537times
1345times
1553times
2759times
38

Prize breakdown · 2019-12-15

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.4Mto 473k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • 5+010%€140.7K
  • 2+041%€558.5K
  • 0+128%€380.1K
  • 5 other tiers21%€285.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.13 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

46times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 52 of each

245times

Every number was expected about that many times after 519 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 15, 27) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 September 2018 — its closest relative in 519 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 86% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 December 2019): 27, 38 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

98

The numbers add up to 98 — the 12th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 33 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
2≈ 1.2 by chance
€70,329
  • 4+127≈ 33 by chance€947
  • 4+0407≈ 293 by chance€73.31
  • 3+11,246≈ 1.6k by chance€27.37
  • 3+014,283≈ 14k by chance€7.76
  • 2+117,270≈ 24k by chance€4.94
  • 2+0186,177≈ 220k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1253,399≈ 253k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 17,270 winners, 29% fewer than the 24k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+02€70,329
    4+127€947
    4+0407€73.31
    3+11,246€27.37
    3+014,283€7.76
    2+117,270€4.94
    2+0186,177€3.00
    0+1253,399€1.50