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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 1 December 2024

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 10
  3. 11
  4. 38
  5. 51
  6. 7

Jackpot€7,600,000

The crowdHeld 53% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 769 of 869 under them

← 2024-11-24All recent draws2024-12-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 10 11 38 51 + 726 Oct 2026, 00:20 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 December 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 37% of every possible ticket.

  • sum30th
  • odd66th
  • low66th
  • widest gap89th
  • neighbours98th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 71 of each

984times
1070times
1191times
3864times
51

Prize breakdown · 2024-12-01

  • Lines in play≈ 5.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.4Mto 476k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • 4+114%€196.3K
  • 2+028%€388.6K
  • 0+135%€480.6K
  • 4 other tiers22%€307.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.17 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

83times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 77 of each

774times

Every number was expected about that many times after 768 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 38, 51) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 8 September 2024 — its closest relative in 768 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 November 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

119

The numbers add up to 119 — the 29th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10, 10–11. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
0≈ 1.5 by chance
no winners
  • 4+117≈ 41 by chance€11,550
  • 4+0156≈ 370 by chance€226
  • 3+1933≈ 2.0k by chance€43.17
  • 3+07,692≈ 18k by chance€17.02
  • 2+117,680≈ 31k by chance€5.70
  • 2+0129,538≈ 279k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1320,378≈ 320k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+0 — 7,692 winners, 57% fewer than the 18k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+117€11,550
    4+0156€226
    3+1933€43.17
    3+07,692€17.02
    2+117,680€5.70
    2+0129,538€3.00
    0+1320,378€1.50