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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 30 April 2023

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 9
  3. 19
  4. 35
  5. 38
  6. 8

Jackpot€6,200,000

The crowdHeld 38% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 686 of 869 under them

← 2023-04-23All recent draws2023-05-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 9 19 35 38 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 April 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 60% of every possible ticket.

  • sum20th
  • odd66th
  • low66th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread24th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 63 of each

861times
976times
1956times
3556times
38

Prize breakdown · 2023-04-30

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.2Mto 410k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • 4+115%€181.1K
  • 2+032%€403.7K
  • 0+130%€374.6K
  • 4 other tiers23%€283.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.13 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

56times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 69 of each

869times

Every number was expected about that many times after 685 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (35, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 15 January 2023 — its closest relative in 685 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 April 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

109

The numbers add up to 109 — the 20th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 8–9. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
0≈ 1.2 by chance
no winners
  • 4+118≈ 32 by chance€10,060
  • 4+0154≈ 289 by chance€211
  • 3+1981≈ 1.5k by chance€37.86
  • 3+08,319≈ 14k by chance€14.51
  • 2+115,855≈ 24k by chance€5.86
  • 2+0134,552≈ 217k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1249,730≈ 250k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+0 — 8,319 winners, 40% fewer than the 14k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+118€10,060
    4+0154€211
    3+1981€37.86
    3+08,319€14.51
    2+115,855€5.86
    2+0134,552€3.00
    0+1249,730€1.50