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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 17 September 2023

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 37
  3. 38
  4. 40
  5. 47
  6. 0

Jackpot€6,300,000

The crowdHeld 22% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 706 of 869 under them

← 2023-09-10All recent draws2023-09-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 37 38 40 47 + 029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 September 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 30% of every possible ticket.

  • sum86th
  • odd34th
  • low10th
  • widest gap83th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread40th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 65 of each

1272times
3775times
3860times
4062times
47

Prize breakdown · 2023-09-17

  • Lines in play≈ 3.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.1Mto 317k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • 5+014%€159.9K
  • 2+032%€360.9K
  • 0+124%€267.4K
  • 5 other tiers29%€324.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.09 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

57times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 71 of each

066times

Every number was expected about that many times after 705 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (12, 47) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 30 July 2023 — its closest relative in 705 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 September 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

174

The numbers add up to 174 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 37–38. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

37 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 22% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
2≈ 0.84 by chance
€79,964
  • 4+110≈ 23 by chance€2,908
  • 4+0146≈ 206 by chance€232
  • 3+1611≈ 1.1k by chance€63.45
  • 3+07,311≈ 9.9k by chance€17.23
  • 2+110,127≈ 17k by chance€9.57
  • 2+0120,289≈ 155k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1178,246≈ 178k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 611 winners, 44% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+02€79,964
    4+110€2,908
    4+0146€232
    3+1611€63.45
    3+07,311€17.23
    2+110,127€9.57
    2+0120,289€3.00
    0+1178,246€1.50