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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£25,673,828
The crowdHeld 16% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 726 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 September 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 35% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 73 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 121 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 725 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (20, 26, 33) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 30 November 2021 — its closest relative in 725 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (5 September 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 110 — the 29th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →26 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈5.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang9 — 9,501 winners, 35% more than the 7.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 1 | €167,781 |
| rang3 | 2 | €31,370 |
| rang4 | 11 | €1,357 |
| rang5 | 174 | €116 |
| rang6 | 377 | €56.30 |
| rang7 | 361 | €43.10 |
| rang8 | 5,236 | €14.20 |
| rang9 | 9,501 | €9.50 |
| rang10 | 18,524 | €8.90 |
| rang11 | 26,464 | €7.10 |
| rang12 | 133,473 | €4.70 |
| rang13 | 262,721 | €3.80 |