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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£125,920,031
The crowdHeld 2% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 830 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 September 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 91% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 83 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 138 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 829 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (12, 41, 47) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 17 August 2021 — its closest relative in 829 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (3 September 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 148 — the 74th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →14 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈33M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 2,061 winners, 14% fewer than the 2.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,470,121 | £3.10 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 717,046 | £4.00 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 175,554 | £5.20 |
| Match 3 | 96,179 | £7.80 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 31,655 | £11.50 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 46,435 | £8.70 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,111 | £49.20 |
| Match 4 | 2,061 | £35.40 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,022 | £96.10 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 55 | £970 |
| Match 5 | 7 | £24,474 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 4 | £183,257 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £125,920,031 |