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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£24,336,652
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 350 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 January 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 35 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 15% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 35 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 349 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (20, 23, 30) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 24 April 2018 — its closest relative in 349 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 81% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (28 January 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 4 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 104 — the 22th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →18 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈28M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 1,213 winners, 36% more than the 890 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,284,966 | £2.50 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 608,229 | £4.40 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 147,291 | £6.10 |
| Match 3 | 98,157 | £6.50 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 31,283 | £10.20 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 46,534 | £7.20 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,571 | £47.60 |
| Match 4 | 2,496 | £27.80 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,213 | £72.30 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 47 | £1,750 |
| Match 5 | 18 | £9,341 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 12 | £60,160 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £24,336,652 |