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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£206,064,000
The crowdHeld 16% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 752 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 December 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 24% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 75 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 125 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 751 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (17, 42, 48) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 30 December 2022 — its closest relative in 751 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (5 December 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 187 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →17 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈20M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 437 winners, 33% fewer than the 657 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €240,000,000 |
| rang2 | 1 | €1,584,039 |
| rang3 | 3 | €24,836 |
| rang4 | 29 | €1,391 |
| rang5 | 437 | €152 |
| rang6 | 1,159 | €64.20 |
| rang7 | 1,089 | €48.40 |
| rang8 | 18,767 | €14.10 |
| rang9 | 22,553 | €13.00 |
| rang10 | 50,383 | €10.70 |
| rang11 | 108,693 | €6.20 |
| rang12 | 345,688 | €6.00 |
| rang13 | 783,264 | €4.30 |