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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£14,597,900
The crowdHeld 20% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 794 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 May 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 48% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 79 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 132 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 793 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 9, 49) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 23 April 2024 — its closest relative in 793 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (30 April 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 104 — the 22th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →30 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang9 — 9,137 winners, 46% more than the 6.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 1 | €211,741 |
| rang3 | 3 | €18,558 |
| rang4 | 6 | €1,927 |
| rang5 | 194 | €104 |
| rang6 | 316 | €57.30 |
| rang7 | 426 | €39.30 |
| rang8 | 4,902 | €14.50 |
| rang9 | 9,137 | €9.80 |
| rang10 | 18,501 | €8.70 |
| rang11 | 23,525 | €7.20 |
| rang12 | 123,263 | €4.90 |
| rang13 | 242,260 | €3.90 |