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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£50,552,275
The crowdHeld 22% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 1,035 of 1,048 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. A later report from Backup 1 agrees but has not been cross-checked yet. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 August 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 56% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 103 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 172 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,034 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 30, 47) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 24 July 2026 — its closest relative in 1,034 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (21 August 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 4 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 149 — the 75th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 47–48. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →16 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈21M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,026 winners, 32% fewer than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 744,518 | £3.10 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 336,743 | £4.20 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 111,653 | £4.10 |
| Match 3 | 48,566 | £7.70 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 20,402 | £8.90 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 21,761 | £9.30 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,331 | £38.90 |
| Match 4 | 1,026 | £35.50 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 482 | £102 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 21 | £1,268 |
| Match 5 | 2 | £42,755 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 1 | £365,868 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £50,552,275 |