Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£14,312,300
The crowdHeld 11% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 817 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 July 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 21% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 82 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 136 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 816 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 16, 34) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 31 May 2024 — its closest relative in 816 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (19 July 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 72 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →8 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang8 — 5,947 winners, 45% more than the 4.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €147,222 |
| rang3 | 2 | €14,746 |
| rang4 | 16 | €423 |
| rang5 | 160 | €94.00 |
| rang6 | 705 | €21.80 |
| rang7 | 280 | €35.40 |
| rang8 | 5,947 | €8.60 |
| rang9 | 6,533 | €8.50 |
| rang10 | 12,058 | €8.30 |
| rang11 | 21,498 | €5.60 |
| rang12 | 81,458 | €4.80 |
| rang13 | 163,889 | €3.80 |