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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£24,145,750
The crowdHeld 19% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 818 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 July 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 86% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 82 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 136 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 817 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (23, 35, 37) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 9 February 2024 — its closest relative in 817 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (23 July 2024): 4 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 4, 8 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 118 — the 38th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →23 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈26M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 975,900 winners, 19% fewer than the 1.2M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 975,900 | £2.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 459,322 | £3.70 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 140,022 | £3.80 |
| Match 3 | 71,010 | £6.20 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 27,669 | £7.70 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 34,471 | £6.90 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,966 | £31.10 |
| Match 4 | 1,741 | £24.70 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 902 | £64.20 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 54 | £582 |
| Match 5 | 10 | £10,094 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 4 | £107,973 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £24,145,750 |