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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£14,688,000
The crowdHeld 28% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 977 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 February 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 20 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 98 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 163 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 976 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (26, 28, 34) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 24 December 2021 — its closest relative in 976 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (30 January 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 152 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 26–27, 27–28. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →28 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈21M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 388 winners, 42% fewer than the 672 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 690,122 | £3.10 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 312,092 | £4.20 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 111,331 | £3.70 |
| Match 3 | 41,789 | £8.30 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 19,584 | £8.50 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 18,939 | £9.80 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,151 | £41.40 |
| Match 4 | 877 | £38.20 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 388 | £116 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 18 | £1,363 |
| Match 5 | 7 | £11,250 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 1 | £336,942 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £14,688,000 |