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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£130,116,570
The crowdHeld 25% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 923 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 July 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 21% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 92 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 154 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 922 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 6, 42) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 20 October 2020 — its closest relative in 922 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (25 July 2025): 6 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 143 — the 68th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 5–6. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →46 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈33M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 582 winners, 45% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,121,436 | £2.90 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 500,434 | £4.10 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 174,670 | £3.70 |
| Match 3 | 66,114 | £8.10 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 28,236 | £9.10 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 30,308 | £9.50 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,651 | £44.70 |
| Match 4 | 1,380 | £37.50 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 582 | £120 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 25 | £1,516 |
| Match 5 | 5 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 4 | £130,194 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £130,116,570 |