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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£14,501,000
The crowdHeld 10% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 541 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 November 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 40% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 54 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 540 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (26, 33) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 9 November 2021 — its closest relative in 540 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (26 November 2021): 20 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 141 — the 66th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 19–20. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →43 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang13 — 172,381 winners, 10% more than the 157k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €523,712 |
| rang3 | 0 | €40,800 |
| rang4 | 5 | €1,658 |
| rang5 | 105 | €142 |
| rang6 | 212 | €70.70 |
| rang7 | 234 | €47.20 |
| rang8 | 3,247 | €16.30 |
| rang9 | 4,910 | €12.60 |
| rang10 | 11,199 | €10.10 |
| rang11 | 18,284 | €7.50 |
| rang12 | 74,404 | €5.80 |
| rang13 | 172,381 | €4.00 |