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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£49,110,551
The crowdHeld 8% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 736 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 13 October 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 17% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 74 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 123 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 735 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (26, 28, 40) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 21 October 2022 — its closest relative in 735 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (10 October 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 156 — the 81th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 40–41. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →28 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈9.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 447 winners, 32% fewer than the 654 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €867,787 |
| rang3 | 3 | €16,901 |
| rang4 | 6 | €1,974 |
| rang5 | 222 | €156 |
| rang6 | 514 | €67.80 |
| rang7 | 447 | €53.30 |
| rang8 | 8,328 | €15.10 |
| rang9 | 10,838 | €12.90 |
| rang10 | 23,170 | €11.10 |
| rang11 | 48,122 | €6.80 |
| rang12 | 177,000 | €5.80 |
| rang13 | 378,018 | €4.30 |