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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£14,482,300
The crowdHeld 19% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 608 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 July 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 82% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 61 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 101 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 607 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (16, 18, 29) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 14 May 2021 — its closest relative in 607 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (19 July 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 145 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →32 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang13 — 249,116 winners, 19% more than the 209k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang3 | 1 | €112,284 |
| rang4 | 4 | €1,863 |
| rang5 | 151 | €141 |
| rang6 | 300 | €67.50 |
| rang7 | 367 | €44.10 |
| rang8 | 4,550 | €15.80 |
| rang9 | 6,835 | €12.50 |
| rang10 | 16,505 | €10.00 |
| rang11 | 24,433 | €7.60 |
| rang12 | 101,699 | €6.00 |
| rang13 | 249,116 | €4.10 |