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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£184,262,899
The crowdHeld 15% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 587 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 May 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 20% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 59 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 586 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (27, 28, 29) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 30 March 2021 — its closest relative in 586 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (6 May 2022): 3 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 112 — the 31th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28, 28–29. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →27 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈15M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang9 — 17,173 winners, 18% fewer than the 21k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €215,840,341 |
| rang2 | 4 | €211,427 |
| rang3 | 2 | €26,953 |
| rang4 | 23 | €1,301 |
| rang5 | 419 | €111 |
| rang6 | 948 | €50.70 |
| rang7 | 908 | €38.40 |
| rang8 | 14,514 | €11.20 |
| rang9 | 17,173 | €10.80 |
| rang10 | 39,227 | €9.00 |
| rang11 | 78,810 | €5.20 |
| rang12 | 252,573 | €5.20 |
| rang13 | 572,525 | €3.80 |